Showing posts with label markets. Show all posts
Showing posts with label markets. Show all posts

Sunday, February 26, 2012

Gazoline or Vazoline

Gasoline sounds so American.  Gazoline sounds like a diabolical German scientist in a black-and-white suspense movie.  I'm not an expert on the subject of Petroleum, nor any of its refined downstream products (except for plastic, of which I use daily, har har), but I do play a petroleum expert on TV.  TV in my mind, that is.  This article is going to blow the minds of a few of my colleagues, who know me as anti-oil, but this should prove that I'm objective by nature and always have been.

And if I were a real bonafide expert on post-production petroleum permutations, I would offer the following insights into the aspects of Gasoline and our cultural perspectives upon it.  Myths be damned...

Myth: The indicators of gasoline price change are easy to predict

Wrong.  They don't exist.  What does exist is picking a reason du jour for blaming anything besides profit drive.  The truth is that of all the various excuses used by big oil, none have held up consistently.  Not oil prices, war, regional conflict, weather and natural disasters, political strife, exploration costs, refinement costs, transportation challenges, not even solar flares.

The biggest "oops!" moment came in 2008, when, at the lowest point in our economic collapse, Exxon-Mobil reported their biggest profits in history.  Not biggest revenues mind you, but biggest profits.

This was during the same week that one of the biggest page 2 stories around the nation was the report from NHTSA that highway traffic was at the lowest volume recorded in the previous twenty years.  Higher unemployment and higher gas prices meant fewer people driving around, it was said.  When asked how they could rake in such insanely-high profits, each of the big oil reps gave a completely different answer.  It seemed that they skipped their weekly golf outing and didn't have a chance to synchronize their stories.  In the end, big oil faded into the background without giving a cohesive explanation, the government panel gave up, and ultimately: nobody cared.  The best example of American determination is our short public attention span.

Conclusion: If you want to know why gas prices go up suddenly, just pick any reason, I'm sure it will stick.

Myth: It's unfair that oil companies can raise prices at will

Wrong.  Companies like Exxon/Mobil, Texaco, Chevron, BP, and so on are NOT social agencies.  They do not exist to support the betterment of society nor the noble efforts of the common worker struggling to make it to their office, their kids events, the bowling alley, the bar, and back home again.  They are what's known as A BUSINESS.  A "business" is defined as an entity that exists for the purpose of making profit.  Period.  Don't like it?  Ride a bicycle or buy an electric car.  Oh wait, there's none to choose from locally.  That's because all those years when the tree-huggers you laughed at were warning you that you'd be tied to Gas like Keith Richards to a heroin couch.  You ignored it and kept dumping your cash into big American-sized shit.  Pat yourself on the back.  Good job.

Myth: Oil companies are to blame for SUV's and 4x4 trucks with crappy mileage

This is the same bullshit argument used against Microsoft's supposed monopoly on operating systems.  No one forced you to buy a stupid, over-sized, difficult-to-park SUV.  Your ego forced it.  You had to keep up with your social circles and not be the only soccer mom without a white Escalade, Lexus or Tahoe.  You had complete control over what you purchased.  You chose poorly and now you want to blame the oil companies.  If you drive a Prius and despise the oafish driving habits of half-blind SUV owners, you still can't blame big oil. Blame the peroxide-blonde with the sunglasses on, carrying a toy poodle in to get groomed.

Myth: Government should step in to regulate gasoline prices

As much as my emotional side wants to agree with that, my rational side sees the downside of that.  Where do you draw the line?  What comes after that?  Hamburger prices?  Cable TV?  Condoms?  Chewing gum? Some people would call that a "slippery slope", but I call it a "lubricated slope".

The best solution?  Pursue alternatives.  I'm not saying to talk about alternatives, that does nothing.  Americans are all about talk, rarely taking action.  "Someday I'm going to lose weight"  Yeah.  And Elvis is coming back.  You want to break your weekly dependence on oil?  Buy an electric car, bicycle or just walk, or just STFU.

Myth:  Cutting back on gasoline use will break our dependence on OPEC and foreign oil

Wrong.  Not only does America import more oil from Canada than anyone else, keep in mind that each automobile tire consumes seven (7) gallons of oil to manufacture.  That's just the start. Now consider everything else that requires oil as an ingredient:  paint and coatings, lubricants (oil and grease), and all the massive amounts of plastics used in your car, your home, your phone, your computer, your TV, your glasses, your clothes, your shampoo and toothpaste, your combs and brushes, your appliances, your food packaging, your makeup, and more.

A pure-electric car would still consume a lot of oil to manufacture and still require more oil to keep it running.  We can't stop using oil.  It's as much a part of our lives as water and air.

Also, while a lot of people assume oil generates most of our electric power in the U.S., it doesn't even come close to coal.  Not even in the same ball park.  Coal is king.  Coal producers are not in the big oil game, they have their own game.

Cheers!

Sunday, August 14, 2011

Bullshit Monopolies

Thinking back from the 1990's to now...

Who FORCED anyone to buy Windows over other operating systems?  Did we not have access to buying OS/2, Mac, UNIX (one of a hundred flavors) or Linux?

Who FORCED anyone to buy Office?  Did we not have WordPerfect and later: OpenOffice?  Star Office?

Who FORCED anyone to use IE?  Did we not have Netscape, AOL, Firefox, Opera, Chrome and Safari?

Who FORCED anyone to use Google?  Did we not have Alta Vista, Excite, Lycos, Ask Jeeves, BigFoot, Web Crawler, Yahoo!, AOL and Bing?

Where the hell do these lawyers fish up people to file major law suits claiming they had no choices?  I don't get it.  I see Microsoft is building a consortium to file suit against Google search as being an unfair monopoly.  Wow.  So, apparently they've thrown in the towel on Bing having what it takes to draw customers away from Google.  I especially love it when my "free market" colleagues argue in favor of this practice, effectively admitting that a "free market" can't decide on its own and therefore requires government/legal intervention to correct bad behavior.  My how times have changed.

Saturday, July 2, 2011

A World Without Competition

Try to imagine what things would be like today had there not been fierce competition in certain key parts of our world.  I’ll give you some examples:

Had VMware not come about, cheap and accessible virtualization might not have happened at all.  Even if it had found its way into data centers, it would have likely been priced out of reach.  Free versions would likely never have happened.  Not because VMware did all this.  But because their emergence pushed others to step up and compete.  We got Virtual Server, GSX, VMware Player, Virtual PC, Parallels, Virtual Box, Xen and others.  Then came the hypervisor products and all that.

Had Google not pushed into web search services, free web applications and web advertising, there wouldn’t even be things like Bing, iAds, Virtual Earth, Bing Maps, Office 365, or even half the search features found in products like Sharepoint.  Again, this is not all Google’s doing.  It’s just that once they stepped onto that boat and it began to move fast, everyone else dove into the water to see what they could do.

Without Apple, where would portable music and multimedia devices be?  Where would tablets be?  Sure, Microsoft and others tried tablets many times, and they all failed horribly.  HORRIBLY.  But now they’re back in the game.  What about ultra-thin notebooks?  What about touch-screen phones?

Without Amazon, where would ebooks be today?  Where would the Nook be?  Sony Reader?  iBooks?

Without Netflix where would all the online movie services be today?

Without Toyota, where would hybrid vehicles be?

Without FedEx where would all the other overnight carriers be today?

COMPETITION IS GOOD.

PERPETUAL COMPETITION IS BETTER.

Wednesday, October 22, 2008

Staring into the Abyss?

Boy, the economic forecasts are mixed.  Some are really dire, while others are at least hinting at hope.  Nouriel Roubini is someone I like to listen to (and read), even though he tends to give more dire predictions.  It seems all of the other pundits shut up when he speaks, so that tells me he's respected (which they all admit to) and that they at least marginally agree with the bulk of his views.  This one in particular I watched on CNBC today and was a little frightening.  Rick Santelli cracks me up.  A good mix of people on this show.  In any case, it seems that most of the experts are bracing for looming "corporate defaults" which will begin a slip-slide into a deeper recession, driving up unemployment and slowing the credit swap improvements of late.  I'm no expert, but it makes sense enough to little old me that it should make sense to you as well.

Sunday, October 19, 2008

Unbelievable AIG

After seeing this on the TV news and then reading about it online (here) I'm just blown away at how arrogant and uncaring these people really are.  Where is the outcry?  I don't see any significant effort from our elected politicians to go after this crap and demand justice.  We just handed then a crapload of money and they're blowing it.  As if once wasn't enough, they're still blowing it.  Maybe there's some absurd legal loophole that prevents being called into court, but surely it's unethical at the very least.

Friday, June 27, 2008

A Bad Week Indeed, For Some, Not All

Levees failed. Crops flooded. Corn prices are soaring. Everything made with corn is going to get more expensive (in case you aren't aware how much corn is used in everything from soft drinks to snacks to foods and cosmetics, search it on Google). Oil is hitting over $140/barrel. Gas at the pump fell a bit, but is said to be going back up. Fires burn out of control in California, Arizona and North Carolina. The dollar continues to fall. The DJI fell over 400 points in two days. The Taliban is regrouping. Airlines are cutting back. Automotive makers are pinching costs to stay afloat. Local utilities are raising rates.

And yet: Microsoft, Dell and HP posted significant revenue gains.

WTF?